The Catholic Church may soon face a significant transition as speculation around Pope Francis’s successor intensifies. The 87-year-old pontiff, who has led the Church since 2013, faces increasing health issues. As Vatican insiders prepare for a potential conclave, several contenders have emerged from across the globe.
Pietro Parolin: Italy’s Diplomatic Voice
Cardinal Pietro Parolin, 70, currently serves as Vatican Secretary of State. Appointed in 2013, Parolin holds a critical diplomatic role. He led negotiations with the Chinese government over bishop appointments in 2018. Some critics argue he compromised the Church’s autonomy. Supporters describe him as a courageous idealist advocating peace. He maintains strong relationships with secular leaders.
Luis Antonio Tagle: Asian Hopeful from the Philippines
Cardinal Luis Antonio Tagle, 67, is a former Archbishop of Manila. At one point, observers saw him as Francis’s potential successor. Tagle has shown support for divorced and gay couples, saying the Church’s stance appears harsh. He opposes abortion rights in the Philippines. His popularity declined recently, yet Asia remains the fastest-growing Catholic region.
Peter Turkson: Ghanaian Voice on Justice
Cardinal Peter Turkson, 76, stands as a prominent African figure. He would be the first black pope in centuries. Turkson speaks on climate change, poverty, and economic fairness. He supports traditional views on marriage and priesthood. Recently, he said many African anti-gay laws are too harsh. He condemns corruption and advocates for human rights.
Péter Erdő: Conservative Choice from Hungary
Cardinal Péter Erdő, 72, is a leading conservative. He supports traditional Catholic doctrine and teachings. Erdő has gained a reputation for intellectual strength. In 2015, he disagreed with Francis’s appeal for migrant support. He aligned himself with Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán. Late Cardinal George Pell supported Erdő as a potential restorer of Vatican order.
Matteo Zuppi: Peace Envoy and Progressive Voice
Cardinal Matteo Zuppi, 69, belongs to the Church’s progressive faction. Francis appointed him cardinal in 2019. Zuppi supports the poor and marginalised. He accepted same-sex relationships more than many peers. As Vatican peace envoy to Ukraine, he visited Moscow in 2023. Zuppi met both Patriarch Kirill and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy.
José Tolentino de Mendonça: Portugal’s Young Contender
At 59, Cardinal José Tolentino Calaça de Mendonça is one of the youngest potential successors. His youth may work against him. Some cardinals may avoid a long papal reign. He holds tolerant views on same-sex relationships. He works closely with a feminist Benedictine sister who supports women’s ordination. Tolentino aligns with Francis on most key issues.
Mario Grech: Malta’s Flexible Leader
Cardinal Mario Grech, 68, once leaned towards tradition. He embraced progressive ideas after Francis’s election. Grech has shown support for female deacons. He criticised European leaders who blocked NGO rescue ships. Supporters say Grech’s change in stance shows adaptability and growth.
Pierbattista Pizzaballa: Jerusalem’s Calm Representative
Cardinal Pierbattista Pizzaballa, 60, became Latin Patriarch of Jerusalem in 2020. He represents Christians in the volatile Middle East. In 2023, he offered himself to Hamas as a hostage in Gaza. He visited Gaza in May 2024 after long negotiations. Pizzaballa rarely comments on controversial topics. Observers expect him to reflect Francis’s style if chosen.
Robert Sarah: Veteran Traditionalist from Guinea
Cardinal Robert Sarah, 79, stands as one of the most traditional candidates. In 2020, he co-wrote a book with retired Pope Benedict defending clerical celibacy. He criticised gender ideology and Islamic fundamentalism. A Vatican watcher once said Sarah positioned himself as a “parallel authority” to Francis. He could be the first black pope since the early centuries.
Also Read: What Happens After the Pope Dies: The Vatican’s Detailed Transition Process
Conclave Remains Unpredictable
The papal conclave process remains secretive. In 2013, few predicted Jorge Mario Bergoglio’s election. Cardinals often shift positions during multiple voting rounds. Some aim to influence results for or against key candidates. No single frontrunner has emerged. The next pope may continue Francis’s legacy or return to more traditional Church governance.
