Tropical Storm Barbara has formed off the south-west coast of Mexico, according to an official alert issued by the US National Hurricane Center (NHC) on Sunday. The storm is rapidly gaining strength and is expected to intensify into a hurricane by Monday, raising concerns along Mexico’s Pacific coast and among nations preparing for an unusually intense hurricane season.
The storm is currently positioned off the coast of Oaxaca and moving west-northwest with sustained winds near 45 mph (75 km/h), accompanied by even stronger gusts. While no coastal watches or warnings have been issued so far, authorities are closely monitoring the system’s trajectory and behavior. Forecasters caution that Barbara could quickly evolve into a dangerous storm.
Torrential Rains and Hazardous Surf
The NHC has warned that Barbara could bring torrential rains to several Mexican states, including Guerrero, Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches (5 to 10 cm) are expected through Monday, with isolated areas potentially receiving up to 6 inches (15 cm). These heavy rains pose a serious risk of flash flooding and mudslides, particularly in mountainous regions and areas with poor drainage systems.
Swells generated by the storm are also forecast to impact the southwestern coast of Mexico over the coming days. These large, choppy waves could create life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, especially for tourists and local fishermen along the coastline. Authorities have urged residents and visitors to avoid the beaches until the storm system passes and the seas calm.
An Active and Uncertain Hurricane Season
Tropical Storm Barbara is likely to be the second named storm of the 2025 Pacific hurricane season, which has already shown signs of heightened activity. Meteorologists have predicted a busier-than-usual year, citing warming ocean temperatures and favorable atmospheric conditions for storm formation in the Pacific and Gulf of Mexico.
The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has also sounded the alarm over the potential for severe and destructive tropical weather events this year. Many coastal communities in the region, from Mexico to the southern United States and the Caribbean, are on high alert. Some local governments have begun early preparations, reinforcing infrastructure and reviewing evacuation protocols.
However, Barbara’s current path remains uncertain. While the storm is not yet forecast to make landfall, sudden shifts in wind patterns or sea temperatures could alter its course. “It’s still too early to say exactly where the storm will go,” said hurricane specialist Luis Ramirez at the Mexican Meteorological Service. “But we are urging all potentially affected regions to stay vigilant and prepare for possible impacts.”
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Understaffed Forecast Offices Raise Alarm
Amid the mounting concerns over Tropical Storm Barbara and a potentially devastating hurricane season, a recent investigation has highlighted critical gaps in the US’s storm preparedness. Over a dozen National Weather Service (NWS) forecast offices along the Gulf Coast are reportedly understaffed due to budget cuts and hiring delays.
Experts warn that this lack of personnel could impact the timely dissemination of life-saving forecasts and warnings. With extreme weather events on the rise due to climate change, accurate and swift forecasting is crucial. “This is a wake-up call,” said Dr. Melissa Garner, a climate policy expert. “We can’t afford to have lapses in forecasting during a year that’s expected to produce major storms.”
The revelation has triggered fresh calls for investment in meteorological services and climate resilience initiatives. Both the US and Mexican governments are now under pressure to bolster their disaster preparedness strategies.
Local Communities on Edge
In coastal towns such as Zihuatanejo and Manzanillo, residents are keeping a close watch on the skies and the sea. Small business owners have begun boarding up windows, while fishing vessels are returning to harbor. “We’ve seen what storms can do,” said Carlos Medina, a shopkeeper in Michoacán. “Last year we lost power for five days. This time we’re not taking any chances.”
Emergency services are also being mobilized. Shelters have been readied, emergency supplies distributed, and communication lines tested. The Mexican Navy has reportedly deployed rapid-response units to regions most at risk, although the government has yet to issue any formal evacuation orders.
Looking Ahead
As Tropical Storm Barbara continues to gain strength, experts urge the public to follow updates from trusted weather services and avoid spreading misinformation on social media. The storm is a stark reminder of the escalating climate risks facing the region, and the importance of preparedness in the face of nature’s growing volatility.
With the heart of the hurricane season still ahead, Barbara could be just the beginning. For now, all eyes remain on the Pacific, as residents brace for what may be a turbulent summer.
