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S&P/ASX200 Sees Positive Movement Despite Trade Surplus Drop

S&P/ASX200 Sees Positive Movement Despite Trade Surplus Drop

As of 06 February, 3:09 pm AEDT, the S&P/ASX200 has risen by 97.50 points or 1.16%, reaching a value of 8,514.40. This marks a positive day for the index, following a relatively stable week. Despite being 0.61% below its 52-week high, the index has shown an impressive uptick today. The top performers in the index include News Corporation and Westgold Resources Limited, which have surged 6.13% and 4.13%, respectively.

Figure 1: The S&P/ASX200 index rose at 8,514.40 points on February 6th at 3:09 PM AEDT, reflecting a 1.16% increase from the previous day.

Strong Performance from Key Sectors

The ASX has seen notable movements in several sectors. Discretionary, Financials, and Real Estate sectors have led the charge with gains of 1.82%, 1.79%, and 1.41%, respectively. Other sectors such as Industrials (+1.02%), Materials (+0.84%), and Telecommunication (+0.70%) also posted solid gains. The only sector to experience a loss today is Energy, down by 0.31%.

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Leading Stock Performances

A number of stocks have posted significant gains, with Pact Group Holdings Ltd (PGH) seeing a sharp 18.52% rise, the highest among the day’s performers. Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd (KPG) and Titomic Ltd (TTT) also saw impressive increases of 7.86% and 7.84%, respectively. News Corporation (NWS) followed closely with a 6.15% increase. Other notable performers include Southern Cross Gold Consolidated Ltd (SX2), Arafura Rare Earths Ltd (ARU), and Kingsgate Consolidated Ltd (KCN), all of which posted gains of 5.43% or more.

Declining Stocks

On the flip side, several stocks faced declines. Energy Resources of Australia Ltd (ERA) saw a significant drop of 16.67%, while Myer Holdings Ltd (MYR) and Wagners Holding Company Ltd (WGN) both faced declines of over 5%. Ainsworth Game Technology Ltd (AGI) and Cettire Ltd (CTT) also experienced losses, falling 4.7% and 4.62%, respectively.

Global Developments Affecting ASX Performance

Global events continue to impact investor sentiment. US President Donald Trump’s comments on the US’s relationship with oil exporters caused Brent crude to fall below $US75 a barrel before slightly recovering. Trump’s comments, particularly about his stance on Iran, caused some volatility. On Wednesday (Thursday AEDT), Trump downplayed his earlier remarks about wanting to “blow Iran to smithereens.” The White House had to defend his proposal that the US seize control of Gaza. These geopolitical tensions play a significant role in global market movements and in shaping investor decisions within the ASX.

Australia’s Trade Surplus Narrows in December

Despite the positive performance on the ASX, Australia’s trade surplus narrowed in December 2024, signalling some economic strain. According to the Australian Bureau of Statistics, the surplus on goods dropped to $5.1 billion, down from $6.8 billion in November. This decrease came as a result of a significant rise in imports of capital equipment, which outweighed the gains in exports, particularly iron ore. The trade data indicates that while Australia saw a 1.1% increase in exports, the sharp 5.9% rise in imports, especially in capital goods and petroleum, led to the narrower surplus.

Iron ore and rural goods exports saw growth, but they were not enough to offset the surge in imports. The import spike highlights a growing demand for goods like capital equipment and petroleum, which may indicate an ongoing shift in the nation’s economic priorities.

Wrapping Up!

The S&P/ASX200’s positive movement today is in contrast to Australia’s trade balance, which saw a significant narrowing in December. However, investors are buoyed by strong performances in key sectors, particularly in discretionary and financials, alongside impressive stock gains such as those by Pact Group Holdings Ltd and Kelly Partners Group Holdings Ltd. Despite some declines in stocks like Energy Resources of Australia Ltd, the overall market sentiment remains optimistic. Traders will continue to monitor the global situation, including developments in the US and its relationship with major oil exporters, to determine the impact on Australian stocks moving forward.

With geopolitical factors and economic data weighing on market sentiment, the ASX could see more volatility in the coming weeks, especially as the nation grapples with narrowing trade surpluses and rising imports. As the ASX holds steady near its 52-week high, traders will be keen to assess whether today’s positive momentum is sustainable or just a temporary rebound.

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